Almost Monday and Joywave Live Performance Review, and Other Thoughts on Concerts

We set out to see Joywave at the Magic Stick in Detroit.

Good news: I think I’ve gotten to where going to normal concerts at normal venues (aka with seating, etc.) is within my comfort zone now. Go me!

But for smaller venues, where it’s just general admission and everyone is crowding around each other, it’s definitely outside my comfort zone. This is what the Magic Stick is, so I was a bit anxious.

I don’t remember how I first heard about Joywave. It was probably one of their popular videos (both NSFW), either Tongues:

or their video with Big Data:

We strategically parked closer so we wouldn’t have to wear a jacket on the walk from the parking lot to the venue, because we’d probably get too hot in the throng of people inside.

The tickets said 7pm so we got there at like 6:40pm. The guy at the door checked our IDs and put on wristbands. He made me get rid of my water bottle, but at least he was apologetic about it.

We went pee and checked out the bowling alley there which looked cool. I miss bowling. It was one of the few things to do in the Central Valley.

Bowling Alley at the Magic Stick

I wanted to buy a water and a drink for Kels and I. I had to wait a while for the mediocre bartender to finish bantering and getting girls drinks. And then instead of asking “Who’s next?” he asked the guy who hadn’t been waiting as long what he wanted. The guy answered and they started bantering. Then while the bartender was getting his drinks, the guy said “OH, SORRY! WERE YOU NEXT? YOU WERE NEXT RIGHT??” I said it was fine and he kept saying sorry, but I notice he waited until after he had placed his drink order to have this sudden realization. I don’t think they’d have this problem in England where there’s a polite queue culture, but who knows. (To be clear, this isn’t always a problem in America. Many people are good at going “Were you next?”)

I hate bar etiquette where it’s not clear who is waiting for a drink and I have to jockey for position. This worrying about position and space would become a theme for the night. I ask the bartender for a bottle of water and a gin and tonic. He says he has no bottles of water. I see many people with bottles of water and wonder what I’ve done to deserve this. He gives me the gin and tonic and a cup of water. The people have already begun moving upstairs during this whole process and I’m mildly annoyed I’m not doing the same.

We get upstairs and it’s a big, dark room. It’s nice to take in the space when there are not so many people in it, and it was more lit up than it is when the show starts. It was very chill up there and there were at least two bars with very un-busy bartenders. I wish I would have known this before, as I could have avoided the whole previous debacle. There were a few seats that we decided not to take because people would definitely stand in front of them and then you couldn’t see anything.

Joywave Music Mix

It was really nice getting there early and scoping out the whole lay of the land and getting comfortable.

Kels and Me at the Magic Stick
That said, I thought they were going to be playing a little after 7pm. Last I checked, they had no opener and the start time was 7pm. I felt bad because there weren’t too many people for them to play for, but I was happy to not be crowded.

Well, after waiting a long-ass time, I re-looked it up and realized they had updated it to “doors at 7pm”. God damn it! I could be waiting two hours?!

I was trying not to be too forlorn but I wished they had communicated the situation earlier.

Finally, at 8pm, the lights turned low and the band came out. “Joywave looks a lot different than I remember!” Kelsey said. They started playing songs we had never heard but were good nonetheless.

“We’re Almost Monday,” said the lead singer for Almost Monday and not Joywave.

Almost Monday

I wasn’t upset because the opener was good, but I wish I had known they were going to have an opener beforehand. I get it might have been hard to know in advance, but still. Now, I know to check on the day of the concert for any updates.

“I’m Dawson,” the lead singer said. I wonder how it was having the name Dawson. I would have been one of those people in high school who would have dickishly referenced Dawson’s Creek every five minutes *bully link* (but with love). Dawson Daugherty is a pretty cool name alliteration-wise, though. He had kind of a Blake from Workaholics looking going on with the hair and a blue and yellow striped shirt.

The bassist, Luke Fabry, reminded me of my old college buddy Kris Keyston, especially with the way he wore a baseball cap. Dawson would sing or hug on Luke, which was cute. Seeing that kind of band chemistry is nice. “THAT BASSIST IS WAILING!!” one excited guy in the crowd said. I didn’t notice a particularly wailing moment, but good for him. Do comments like these make the others jelly?

The guitarist, Cole Clisby, reminded me of Wes Anderson. I don’t know if he was nervous but he was very stiff and seemed a little uncomfortable.

Their Wikipedia says they’re a “pop trio” and their website doesn’t mention the drummer. Looking him up, I see he’s “Rafa the Drummer”, who is a studio drummer just touring with them. I wonder how it feels touring but not being a part of the band. Like, you’re getting the rockstar experience but not the same level of credit? As opposed to: you’re the touring band for Elton John or whoever, and you know people are there for the main person. But with such a small group, it feels different.

When introducing the band members, Dawson also thanked their roadie. It’s always a good look to remember the “little people”.

I wonder how much the band can see the faces in the crowd. It reminds me of when I used to watch my ex-girlfriend perform in plays and I wondered if she could see me in the audience or not.

Dawson talked about how he wasn’t great at talking between songs and that Daniel from Joywave was trying to teach him crowd banter. He said Daniel was very funny on-stage. 

You could see him wanting to jump around and dance more but he pointed out how tight it was up there.

Dawson seemed very stoked to be there and it was really nice to see.

He would say he was playing a song and a girl would scream and he was excited someone knew it. The same thing happened later and he said something like “Woah, that’s wild! This isn’t even released yet!” I think the girl just liked yelling as opposed to her knowing their unreleased song.

He informed the crowd that they had two or three songs left. I like when people tell you how many songs they have left.

Overall, his personality was very likable and it was cute to see a band be really happy about where they’ve made it. Their songs were very catchy and their live performance was good, even though it could have been better with more space for them and especially Dawson to jump and dance around. 

Overall, they get a B-. Room for improvement might be having more space for Dawson to jump around (probably not their fault, though) and Cole feeling a little more confident on stage. That said, I wish them all the best and am excited to see where they go!

The lights came back on and people shuffled around a bit.

There’s a problem when you’re at a venue like this where, in between sets, it’s chiller and people mill about, go to the bathroom, get drinks, etc. The problem is that during this time, people are standing where everyone has a little room apart. But if you want to actually hold your good viewing position, you have to stand uncomfortably close to other people. Otherwise, other people will squeeze in between at the last second before the next band comes on.

So you can stand a comfortable distance from other people and accept that someone will probably jump in front of you, or you can eat the social cost of being really close to other groups (or be the fun extrovert that meta-communicates the situation with them and shares your love of the band and drugs, etc.) If you’re in a larger group, it’s easier because you can have more people covering. I saw people standing wider to cover a space when their friend went to the bathroom or to grab drinks.

Height is an issue too. Some girls wore obnoxiously large platform shoes, which I thought was a purely fashionable choice, but I realized the incentive: you can get a much better view. The tall dude with the short girlfriend presents a problem because the short girl wants to be upfront but the boyfriend blocks everyone.

My tall friends have talked about trying to be accommodating at concerts, but it can be a struggle. Let’s say they show up early to a show. Should someone who is shorter get to go in front of them if they showed up an hour later? How much should the tall person sacrifice in proximity so others can see? No easy answer, but it’s mostly academic given that the crowd isn’t coordinating like that. It’s like the old-school picture process with taller people in the back and shorter people in the front.

This guy and his girlfriend stood in front of us and this pissed me off. There wasn’t a lot of space, and we had left what space there was in order to not super crowd the people in front of us.

After the guy took many pictures of his girlfriend in front of the crowd, they eventually squeezed into a further position up front. We and another pair immediately moved closer to fill in the gap. The girl in the other couple and I nodded at each other in acknowledgment. Joywave came on at 9:02pm. In the jostling, we were slightly behind a big guy, but the other couple was completely behind him. I felt bad but there wasn’t much we could do even if I wanted to give up some of my space. I realized, in these sorts of situations, that besides the overall ambiance and listening to the live music in a crowd, you could end up essentially paying for a 6 inch x 6 inch window in which you occasionally see the band members. Like that’s the amount of space you have between people’s heads to view the stage. So with this small boxed view, you’re paying for that and I guess being able to be close to people.

Joywave

Daniel Armbruster appeared with his trademark glasses and mustache.

Joey Morinelli, one of the guitarists, reminded me a lot of the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. They could bring Zelenskyy on and do one of those play-offs the way Chad Smith and Will Ferrell did.

They had a little setup of a fake car wash with spinning brushes and the back of a car with a Michigan license plate.

The most common problem I have at concerts (besides the other fans) is the vocals are all over the place, either occasionally off-key or just quiet in parts or lacking oomph. Some of this could be a mixing problem but I think the singer is the biggest part of it.

Kelsey, who knows much more about singing than I do, described it as the lead singer’s falsetto being quieter than his regular voice. Since they’re not changing the volume on his microphone during the concert, it’s harder to hear certain notes.

Joywave discussed not having toured in a long time so the ring rust could have contributed. But I doubt it because so many bands I’ve seen have this problem.

The show starting after so long was having an effect. I got real tired of standing. I would never last in the military standing around and carrying heavy packs.

Daniel did light crowd work in between the songs. He wasn’t George Carlin but he’d do fine in a smaller venue for standup.

He talked about Covid of course and asked the crowd if they had been to virtual concerts. Some people raised their hands. Then he said they had been asked to do them but thought virtual concerts were stupid. I was like “Sorry people who raised your hands!” haha.

Daniel would occasionally ask the crowd to do something and oftentimes they were sort of lackluster. It’s interesting, sometimes you have to really own it, with full enthusiastic energy, asking the crowd to do something to get them to do it. But when you’re asking the crowd to do something, you’re being vulnerable and it can be hard, like the more you put into it the more likely they are to do it, but if it flops, it flops hard.

Daniel said they famously never played their most popular song on Spotify. But he said the pandemic, and the fact that it was played on a SpaceX flight, changed all that.

I’m against this hipster bullshit. I get you may get tired of something, or you think you have a bunch of better songs the way Van Morrison feels about Brown Eyed Girl, or how Kurt Cobain didn’t like Smells Like Teen Spirit and preferred a song like Drain You (although he admitted he may not have liked Drain You as much if it would have been as popular as Teen Spirit).

Paul McCartney talked about how he could be like Bob Dylan and perform whatever he feels like, but when he was a boy and saw a concert, he wanted his money’s worth, so he wants people to get their money’s worth:

Well, I’m always reminded of when I was a kid and I used to go to shows. This was pre-pre-pre-Beatles. I was just a little kid in Liverpool with no money, and I’d be saving up forever. It’d be really good if the show satisfied me – and it really pissed me off if it didn’t. So I have this thing, which is that these people have paid money. They’re not necessarily all going be that flush, so let’s give them a good night out. Let’s have a party. Let’s make it a fiesta kind of thing, so everyone goes home and thinks, “Yeah, I didn’t mind spending that money.” That’s the philosophy behind a lot of what I do.

It’s also one of those events that is super common for one party but is life-changing for another. Think about a birth. A midwife, labor and delivery nurse, or OBGYN see many births in just one day. It’s their job. But for the parent, it’s a huge life-changing thing, so it’s important to remember it from their perspective and take that into account. For the performer, they could have played their hit song for the ten-thousandth time and be tired of it, but a fan could have saved up just to hear that song and have it take them back to a special moment in their life.

Yes, they can do the Bob Dylan thing and play whatever. I saw Bob despite knowing he wouldn’t play any hits. But I guarantee you every person in the audience would have preferred that he play some hits.

And with Joywave, their setlist stats show they play their #2 and #3 songs, so why be a hipster only about their #1?

Anyways, they played their biggest and best songs at the end and Daniel sang with the oomph that he needed. So it shows he can do it! He just hadn’t been. These last songs were really nice.

If he would have sang every song like he did the last three, it would have been an A concert. But overall, it was a C+.

If you enjoyed this, you should definitely check out:

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John’s Review of The Batman (2022)

The Batman poster

I was pretty hyped for The Batman but thought it was a pretty big letdown.

I’m a big fan of basically every actor in this but thought they underutilized them.

Robert Pattinson spends all his Bruce Wayne time looking like he was auditioning for Jared Leto’s part in Requiem for a Dream. His hair is in his eyes like he’s a goth from South Park, and did he really have to be such a dick to Andy Serkis’ Alfred? That got old really fast. His voiceover reminded me a lot of Rorschach’s in Watchmen, but it worked a lot better for Rorschach’s character. For someone who’s so good at riddles, it takes him an awful long time to think of how a “rat with wings” could mean a bat.

Billionaires are used to crazies coming out of the woodwork to harass them. They certainly wouldn’t be opening mail willy-nilly.

Jeffrey Wright as Commissioner Gordon here didn’t display any admirable qualities. He seemed to just be there to serve as a tag-a-long to read questions out loud so Robert Pattinson could answer them. I did like his response to Batman saying no guns. “That’s your thing.”

Zoe Kravitz seemed perfectly cast as Catwoman but I didn’t find anything likeable about her character. And at the end, why did she ask Falcone if he remembered her mom? He knows you’re his daughter, right? Of course he does.

John Turturro looked like he stepped off the set of the Irishman but was overall fine.

Paul Dano’s Riddler seemed to be a kind of autist incel with his love of puzzles and interwebz friends.

The standout of the movie was Colin Farrell as the Penguin. He was basically unrecognizable. Props to him. Probably the best moment in the film was his “no habla espanol?” line. Everyone in the theater laughed.

The story was pretty uncompelling to me. The Riddler’s original plot seemed very much like a rehashing of Seven, with Paul Dano playing Kevin Spacey’s character, especially with his dense, crazed journals. I could go with that. But the third act feels like a non-sequitur.

There was no set up to the flooding. No throwaway explanation of these walls in the beginning. “Sometimes I just wish these walls would break and flood the whole damn city away…” moody Bruce says while touching the walls. Anything! Don’t ask me how a city would even get built if you needed walls to hold back water. There’s no hurricane going on. A few feet of water seemed pretty underwhelming.

And the big masterstroke of flooding an entire city and forcing the populus into a low-lying arena? And then having a few incels off Discord meet up and shoot them with hunting rifles (and the one AR-15 a guy somehow managed to get in the gun-controlled nightmare amalgam of NYC and Chicago)? Why weren’t there a million cops shooting the snipers? Cops are big on shooting things.

The Riddler’s motivation for hating Bruce Wayne seemed real weak. He hated these other men because they were corrupt civil servants and hated Bruce Wayne because he was a rich orphan whose dad may or may not have done something shady? Okay…

Felt way too long and they didn’t do a lot with the time. I don’t mind a big conspiracy but they didn’t even show the other mafioso they kept talking about.

Overall, pretty weak and not worth the three hours. And the after-credits “scene” isn’t worth waiting to leave the theater and get pizza for. Trust me.

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Start – My Short Sci-Fi Story Published in Etherea Magazine

Well, I guess if getting paid makes you a professional, today I can finally call myself a professional science fiction writer.

My sci-fi short story “Start” was just published by Etherea Magazine in their 7th issue! It’s about what getting out of prison might be like in the future.

Start Story Cover

Your kind words really keep me motivated to keep writing so thank you!

You can buy the issue here: https://ethereamagazine.com/product/etherea-magazine-7/

If you like short stories you should definitely check out these:

Dumped – My Short Sci-Fi Story Published in Waste Advantage Magazine

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My Episode on Travis Birmley’s Podcast

Do you ever look back and think about all the mistakes you made, all the stupid things you did in high school?

Have you ever quit something you loved to stop being bullied?

What is it like being away from home and coming back to find your sibling all grown up?

Do you still think about the crush that got away?

My old buddy from high school, Travis Birmley, invited me onto his podcast where we talk about all those things and more!

Check out the video with timestamps below to hear about our experiences being bullied, crazy stories from high school, our first job, growing up, racial identity and racism, and much more!

0:00:00
Travis was technically obese
What caused Travis to gain weight?

1:24
When did Travis meet his wife?

2:13
Travis locked her in before he became lazy

2:53
How did Travis meet his wife?

5:26
His wife’s super short shorts

5:43
A guy giving a girl his phone number
Sliding into Facebook DMs

6:39
Does Travis not want me to tell stories from back in the day?

6:55
We had some fun times in high school
How did Travis and I become friends?
Travis and I separated for talking too much
John being nervous about working a new job

8:28
It was a good job for high school. A wild cowboy job.

10:15
Travis being Mexican

10:58
Why does Travis get so much stuff dry-cleaned?

11:50
How does Travis view his own race?
How other countries view Americans and race
Discussion on race and views between conservative and liberal settings

18:18
Being even-keeled politically
Not being tribal about politics, not just being Democrat or Republican

19:28
A brief bio of Travis
Travis moving to Texas during high school and being the California kid

21:12
People’s conceptions of California vs the large conservative, rural and agricultural areas

22:59
Travis’s experiences being bullied
Popular kids bullying
Travis’s older brother
Feeling good seeing a bully doing shitty in life

25:58
Travis being good-looking and Travis’s game back in high school
Flirting with our hot older co-worker

27:04
Our work was like the movie Waiting
The coworker not to piss off
Off-the-wall cowboy shit as a high-schooler
Stories from Bakers Square

30:22
Regrets over missed opportunities with girls
Travis getting in his own way

31:50
Travis’s dad cockblocking him
The one that got away

33:10
Missing out but setting himself up for an adventurous 19 and 20

33:30
Travis reading John’s post on bullying
John snapping and turning violent from bullying
John carrying steak knives

34:50
Why didn’t we tell people we were bullied?
Is girl bullying worse?

36:19
Most of the time you’re getting bullied, it’s when you’re by yourself
Travis getting rolled up on by a group of bullies
All the kids grew up together and knew each other
Wishing he would have punched them in the face.
Quitting basketball from being bullied
Hindsight is 20/20 like in standing up for yourself

41:53
Why don’t people tell their coaches, teachers, or parents that they’re being bullied?
The no-win situation

47:16
Would any of his friends listen to this and think “Yeah, he was kind of a douche.”

47:22
Would John want an apology from his bullies now?
Would Travis want an apology?
One category of people who are still pieces of shit and one category of people who are sorry

49:50
Why Travis getting bullied might have been a good thing for John

50:22
What would Travis do if he saw his bully later?

51:04
Validation from knowing other people hate your bully

52:13
How would the bully feel about these things now?
How would Travis feel if he apologized now?
We should do a documentary about it
Are his friends even friends with him anymore?

58:26
We had a lot of good times
Going to Santa Cruz
John getting his first job
John getting along really well with Travis’s dad
The different array of people we worked with
Older woman having John feel her boob
Manager of Bakers Square
Our fat manager had game
John going to a bar looking like he was 12

1:03:18
John spanking the manager with an electric fly swatter

1:03:29
John almost moved in with Travis
Travis
hanging out with Tanner
Seeing a policeman chase and beat a guy down in the middle of nowhere
Party stories
John watching James Bond while his friend tries to hook up with a girl

1:08:18
Who has Travis seen from back in the day?
We haven’t seen each other in 17 years

1:09:08
Embarrassing stories from when Travis was young
Does his wife know about them?

1:10:13
Can’t remember why we randomly left Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift
John being on the top of Sara’s car doing donuts in the parking lot
Ghost riding the whip
Travis, John, and Sara’s anthem: Ridin’ by Chamillionaire
Songs were more special when you couldn’t play them on demand

1:12:25
John not being able to work anymore, tough situation
Having a work family

1:15:30
Who else gets to go to school together, work together, and hang out after?

1:16:14
John stabbed himself in the leg while on the phone with Travis

1:17:20
Travis not getting along with his dad post-move and reconciliation later
Travis growing closer to his mom Travis’s parents getting horses

1:21:55
How is Travis’s sister doing?
The shock of being away from siblings and coming back to them being grown up

1:23:38
Why does Travis live in Beaumont?

1:24:19
Does Travis get along with his wife’s family?

1:26:05
All the places John has lived
California vs Florida vs Michigan
How people are during disasters?
Alligators are everywhere in Florida

1:28:58
Has Travis been to Florida?
How did he like it?

Differences in people wearing masks or not

1:30:33
Did John like Florida?
The Everglades are a must-visit
The snow sucks

1:31:50
Ann Arbor vs Berkeley
Detroit vs the Bay

1:32:49
Michigan Football
Michigan finally beating Ohio State
The rivalry

1:35:36
Travis has been a lifelong Vikings fan

1:35:55
Who is Travis’s basketball team?
Sacramento Kings was the Central Valley’s Team
Becoming a bandwagon fan for the Warriors at the perfect time

1:37:37
Who is Travis’s baseball team?

1:37:58
Why didn’t Travis play baseball?

1:38:20
Could have played baseball with our friend Jose

1:40:14
Sports rivalry with his wife Natalie

1:41:00
What does Travis think of Tom Brady?
Travis’ dad’s obsession with him
Talent vs hard work

1:42:51
Drive is innate

1:43:15
Michael Jordan has both talent and obsessive drive

1:43:57
Tiger Woods was the same

1:44:14
How valuable is potential?

1:45:53
Travis is turning into his dad

1:46:08
Stories about his dad’s management style

1:48:15
Would you pick the talented one or the hard worker?

1:48:29
Is it good to boost people up with compliments?

1:49:50
Most people are just mediocre

1:50:32
Workers that aren’t great

1:51:06
The effects of a bad manager

1:52:36
What does Travis want out of a podcast?

1:53:50
What podcasts did Travis listen to?
Joe Rogan becoming too political

1:55:15
The Lost City of Atlantis

1:56:05
The Unknown and Aliens

1:57:02
How did the pilots treat Travis in the Navy?
Trusting 17-, 18-year-olds with millions of dollars of equipment and people’s lives

2:00:24
What ship was Travis on?
UFOs

2:00:57
Travis’s thoughts on my interview with Robert McIntyre, the CEO of Nectome, the brain preservation startup
Waiting for people to die to preserve their brain
Why should we preserve brains now?
The DNA analogy

2:03:56
Could they make new memories?

2:04:54
Virtual consciousness in the Captain America movies

2:05:49
VR and living in perfectly simulated worlds

2:06:26
The argument that we’re living in a simulation

2:08:01
It’s like the Matrix movies
Morpheus “What is real?”

2:10:18
Personal identity and the Mars teletransportation thought experiment

2:11:08
Religion and death
Religion is cultish
Similar origin stories in religious figures
Who said newer religions are the true ones and older ones aren’t?
Travis is going straight to hell

2:14:47
Travis is alienating his listeners and going to get canceled

2:16:00
We should record a podcast with Travis’s dad

2:16:55
We covered a lot of topics

2:17:19
Why Travis stopped doing his podcast before?

2:17:33
You have to stop waiting for other people

2:18:34
John doesn’t care about horses. Travis is afraid of them.

Thanks for listening!

If you enjoyed this, you should definitely check these out:

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Did you enjoy this? Do you like making other people feel good? Of course you do!

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Interview with Nectome CEO Robert McIntyre – Brain Preservation, Personal Identity, AGI, and More

Robert McIntrye is an all-around smart and interesting dude, and he’s the CEO of Nectome, a startup devoted to preserving the human brain.

Last year, I wrote a summary of Robert’s brain preservation talk at the Long Now Foundation:

The Greatest Film Career of All-Time

He later read it and reached out to me about discussing our thoughts. I asked if I could record it as an interview and here we are!

We dive into topics such as brain preservation, personal identity, life extension, AGI, Rick and Morty, and why he’s worried about the current state of cryonics.

Our interview went for over three hours and we weren’t anywhere close to exhausting our conversation (but we did exhaust my bladder capacity).

A lot of time was spent on personal identity and the teletransportation paradox.

We talked a lot about things we don’t actually disagree on, but I’m glad we did because it will help clear up confusion for listeners who aren’t on the same page.

The crux of our actual disagreement is as follows: I wouldn’t destructively copy myself, as in the case of the teletransportation paradox, and he would.

If you’ve read the Three Buckets, you know that I care about my own utility and the utility of my loved ones.

The Three Buckets of Life: How to Spend Your Time and Money

Imagine someone made a perfect copy of me.

If my copy’s hand was pricked, he would feel the pain but I wouldn’t. If that copy was eating a double-double animal style from In-N-Out, he would be enjoying the taste of that goodness but I wouldn’t be.

While I’d prefer for my copy to be feeling pleasure rather than pain, if I had to choose, I’d prefer to be the one eating In-N-Out and not getting his hand pricked.

It’s not that I don’t care if my copy is enjoying life. It’s that I don’t care as much because I’m not experiencing it. This seems intuitive and obvious to me.

Personal identity is a messy concept. We didn’t evolve for our intuitions to handle complicated and messy scenarios such as being perfectly copied. There was no transporter to Mars in the ancestral environment.

I don’t want to be destructively uploaded because “I” (which, yes, is a messy term) would not be experiencing anything anymore. Yes, in some sense “I” would still exist because my memories would still be in a different copy. But that copy is the one enjoying Mars, not me. And I care about the John who is experiencing my qualia more than another John.

Robert values his memories surviving and the algorithm that is his consciousness running somewhere, so he is fine with his current self being terminated as long as other copies are around with his memories.

Do you agree with Robert? Would you be fine with having copies of yourself and then destroying your current copy?

Let me know your thoughts, what questions I should ask in the future, and who I should talk to next in the comments below! Thanks!

Timestamps below with links to see what topics we covered and where:

00:00:00
Interview with Nectome CEO Robert McIntyre

00:00:41
Covid, moving his lab, and his new human brain banking project

00:01:54
Recommendations for spots in San Francisco

00:02:23
Danny Hillis
, Connection Machine, and Jurassic Park

00:03:16
Human brain bank – storing brains donated to science

00:03:29
Preservation methods: fixation vs fixation + cryoprotection

00:04:57
Why does it take so long to preserve brains? How does brain donation work?

00:11:14
Why there may not be a good window in most cases to preserve a brain

00:15:50
Is it hard working outside the Overton Window?

00:16:45
His thoughts on the falling out with MIT

00:18:25
Most people don’t really understand they’re actually going to die

00:19:48
We could have done similar work to what he’s doing in the 1960s
We can act now, we don’t have to solve all the problems
When do you know enough to make an argument to take action?

00:22:58
How well can you preserve a brain under ideal circumstances?

00:23:54
Interesting surgery and implications for preservation

00:28:10
Why should we be worried about current cryonics protocols?

00:30:07
What should places like Alcor do?

00:34:04
What do we know well? What type of stuff is left to learn?

00:36:20
If you were in charge of Alcor, what would you have them do differently?

00:39:11
How much do you disagree with Alcor’s object-level preservation techniques?

00:41:05
Are you signed up for cryonics now?

00:41:47
Have you talked to anyone at Alcor? Would they disagree with you?
Is some information better than none?
Information theory: levels of resolution/quality

00:43:47
What are your thoughts on personal identity?
Teletransportation paradox

00:50:42
Bike Cuck Comic
How do we differ in our thoughts on personal identity?

01:01:24
Why not just record people with your phone?

01:02:22
What is the value of other people’s memories/brains?

01:05:32
What are your thoughts on AI/AGI?

01:08:11
Are you concerned about AI safety?

01:08:38
Why don’t you work on AI safety?

01:09:19
Can the most powerful AI get back lost information? Laplace’s demon?

01:10:30
Do I believe a simulated person could be conscious?

01:22:28
If a copy was being tortured or you were, would you care the same way?

01:32:08
Do you have siblings?

01:32:34
How close does someone have to be to be the same?
How valuable are your memories?
Would you give up the last minute of your memory for $1000 dollars?
How much of your memories do you have to lose to be severely injured?
How much of your memories have to be lost to be considered dead?

01:36:37
How old are you?
How important are different memories?
What determines you being down to be terminated?

01:42:12
Another way of framing this is by causality

01:44:37
What do we disagree on?
I wouldn’t take the teleport to Mars and he would

01:48:28
I don’t care about which “copy” is “fake” or “authentic”

01:49:00
What does being killed mean if a copy exists?

01:53:40
How should you relate to yourself?
What are adaptive aesthetics?

01:55:08
In most scenarios wouldn’t we be doing the same thing?
Not being able to travel fast is a huge loss
We are born into twin prisons: gravity and time.

01:56:20
Would you get into the experience machine?

01:57:58
What pathways to flourishing are damaged and what ones are enabled?

02:02:01
You already live in a world divorced from the physical world

02:02:46
You wake up, someone tells you “While you were asleep, you were teleported?”

02:04:55
Do you think it’s bad if people in cults kill themselves?

02:07:25
Philosophical problems will cease to be problems because everyone will do them

Social Media Questions Q and A

02:08:22
Giego Caleiro:
How is he doing? When will we have brain preservation?
Is most of the hurdle legal/regulatory or the science?

02:09:49
Chris Mcaulay:
Is there a difference in therapeutic approaches between preservation and augmentation?

02:10:52
What do you think of Neuralink?
What makes it worth getting an invasive brain implant?

02:13:28
Tony Fatica: What percentage of personality needs to be preserved to be “them”?
Would you trade a million dollars for 1 IQ point?
How much money would you trade off to lose memories?

02:15:13
Beloved Aristocrat: Have you read Fall by Neal Stephenson?

02:15:25
What do you do in your spare time?
YouTube video he mentioned:

02:16:10
Do you identify as a rationalist?

02:16:18
What do you think of effective altruism?
Most of the world is “ineffective selfishness”

02:16:48
Peter Singer among others has written a lot about this.
Reminds me of that scene from Schindler’s List of how much should we sacrifice for others.

Tithing

02:17:54
What’s your favorite movie of all time?
What would a real alien visitor be like?

02:19:40
Who do you think is the smartest person of all time?

02:21:30
Who is the most capable human to solve problems?

02:23:12
Have you done psychedelics? Are you interested in psychedelics?
Have I gotten any insights from psychedelics?
Doors of Perception altered experiences model

02:26:05
His memories before his first words
What did it take to invent language and spread it?
How did writing develop?

02:30:49
Technological deflation

02:31:51
Where did you grow up?
How was it being a kid?

02:33:10
Was it hard being gay in Kansas?

2:33:58
What did your parents do?
Brothers who win the duck stamp competition
Paying his mom to teach him how to draw
Genetic differences in skill

02:38:41
Montie Adkins: What about memory limits over hundreds of years and possible augmentation?

02:43:13
DJ Grossman: Knowing what you know about the current state of research in brain and memory science, what are your expectations of those preserved now?

02:44:00
Do you think we’ll hit LEV (longevity escape velocity) in our lives?

02:45:45
When do you think we’ll develop AGI?

02:48:15
Are you optimistic about the future?

02:48:25
Do you like Rick and Morty?

02:49:38
Are you familiar with the Qualia Research Institute?

02:50:11
Who are you inspired by?
Patrick Winston

I later realized he was talking about this professor who has a great talk about how to speak:

02:52:44
Have you talked to your parents about preserving their brains?

02:53:29
If my parents died in five years, would you be ready to preserve their brains?

02:54:20
Back to continuity of consciousness
Thinking in terms of objects

02:59:26
Why do you value your own memories over others?

03:01:49
The Torah is Not in Heaven

03:04:46
If there was a lifeboat or spaceship, you would still prefer yourself on there rather than a stranger, right?

03:05:39
Why do you care about preserving your own memories vs someone else’s?

03:07:02
There will be a new type of bigotry for uploaded people.

03:08:11
The legal implications of uploaded copies

03:10:12
Why he hates the book “Thinking Clearly About Death”

03:12:21
How important is something you can’t perceive?

03:12:55
What is the difference between being destructively uploaded, and killing everyone if they wouldn’t be around to suffer?

03:22:13
What if I put you in the transporter and I just kill you?

03:27:15
Where does this intuition come from?

03:34:33
For people that want to follow, what do you recommend?
https://nectome.com/

If you enjoyed this, you should definitely check these out:

Enjoying Life: Curiosity and Fighting Aging

What Would You Store to Maximize Value in 100 Years? A Thought Experiment

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Elton John Concert Review

 

Elton John concert

As I said, in my Bob Dylan concert review, I’ve been prioritizing seeing aging legends while I still can, so getting tickets to Elton John was a no-brainer.

Elton is among the top ten bestselling artists of all time, right up there with the Beatles, Elvis, and MJ. 

In preparation for seeing him, we watched an Elton John documentary, watched some clips on YouTube, watched part of Rocketman (we weren’t blown away so we stopped), and listened to his complete discography up to 1976 (couldn’t finish it all before the concert).

We parked at an open lot about ten minutes away and nearly froze to death on the walk over — the trade-off for avoiding the vehicle pileup near the venue. We made it inside before dying of frostbite and found our seats.

After a short wait, with no opener, Elton came out wearing his signature loud sunglasses and a colorful suit. He half-joked that people had their tickets for like 700+ days because of COVID.

He started with Benny and the Jets. Initially, he didn’t sound particularly great, and I started worrying that we had made a terribly expensive mistake. Thankfully, he warmed up over the next couple of songs, which sounded better.

Random notes:

I’m never loose enough at concerts. I need to experiment with having a beer or taking MDMA or something. I’d probably enjoy the experience a lot more.

It was cute seeing audience members dress up in loud glasses, platform boots, feather boas, etc. The energy of the crowd can shape the experience. The performer can also influence the crowd somewhat but there’s going to be a selection effect. I think the audience was definitely more lively at the Rolling Stones.

He had like three different drummers and we really liked one of them. He was very lively and had a lot of stage personality. Hearing the history of how long Elton had played with some of the guys and how much he respected them was a particularly nice part of the concert. 

Elton has so many hits that he doesn’t have to pad his setlist with too much filler. That said, I would have loved for him to play a Lion King song and maybe my favorite song of his: Daniel.

Elton was quite likable. He talked to the crowd in general and about his history with Detroit and America. I never really care about the “Hi, *insert city here*!” too much, except when the artist mentions some real history they have with the place, which is nice. 

He said one guy in the audience has seen him over 200 times in concert and thanked him by name, which must have been nice for the dude. I wonder how Elton found out.

I wasn’t blown away by most of the visuals. Often he would play pre-existing music videos which were kinda mediocre. My favorite of the night was probably Rocketman. The visuals were cool and it made me think of the space program. It reminded Kels of David Bowie, and caused some melancholia thinking about him, aging, and death in general; that stream of thought can be hard to avoid sometimes, especially in this context. 

Your Song and Goodbye Yellow Brick Road felt very poignant and were a nice way to finish the night.

Overall: B-/C+ Wasn’t blown away but the quality of his setlist and his charm bumped up the score.

If you liked this post, you should definitely check out these:

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Film Class: Or Having to Sit and Listen to Dumb Opinions

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Coming Out

Poly Triad with Three SwansPoly Triad with Three SwansPoly Triad with Three Swans

We’re a bit nervous to share this publicly but we’re taking the plunge: Adriana, Kelsey, and I are all in a polyamorous relationship.

For many of you, this will not be news. It’s been kind of an open secret.

For some of you, it will have confirmed your suspicions. “They sure are close with Kelsey…” you thought to yourself.

For others, it will be a shock.

I’ll try to answer the most common questions we get:

What the hell is polyamory?

There’s an umbrella term called “ethical non-monogamy” (ENM), which is exactly what it sounds like. ENM is where you’re not monogamous but your partner(s) know and are okay with it. There are many iterations underneath this big umbrella, e.g. swinging, open relationships, and polyamory. Plenty of people do *non*-ethical non-monogamy, aka cheating, which is obviously not what I’m talking about.

Polyamory is where all partners involved are open to being in more than one romantic relationship at the same time. (Cue the elevator straight to hell!) This is contrasted with something like an open relationship where you’re allowed to have sex with other people but not a full-on relationship.

What does your relationship look like?

We are in a “triad” or “throuple”, which means that we are all three equal partners with one another.

Some people are in “Vs”, for example if Adri were dating Kelsey and me, but Kelsey and I weren’t dating each other, that would be a V.

It’s important to note that even though we’re in a triad, each of us has our own relationship. Adri and I have our own relationship. Adri and Kelsey have their own relationship. Kelsey and I have our own relationship. And all three of us have our own relationship.

But you don’t look like poly people!

Most people share the beliefs of their tribe. So someone who rides a Harley is more likely to be a conservative, and someone who drinks kombucha is more likely to be liberal, even though those beliefs and interests don’t logically relate to each other.

We’re special snowflakes who try to rationally navigate the world. Just because we’re poly doesn’t mean we hold the same views or have a lot of overlapping culture with most polyamorous people. You may notice we don’t have dyed hair or tattoos, and that we don’t live in a commune in Portland. Not that there’s anything wrong with that!

How long have you been together?

Adri and I celebrated our ten-year anniversary this past year and we’ve all been a triad for five years now.

Do you all live together?

Yes, but we didn’t always. Kelsey moved in with us when the pandemic started. Her lease was up in Boston and with COVID and everything else we felt it was best to all live in the same place. It’s been great.

Do you all sleep in the same bed?

No. Adri and I sleep together and Kelsey sleeps in her own room. This is in part by default and in part because of certain constraints.

I know other polyamorous people who all share a bed, but we never could. I run hot and Adri runs cold, I snore, Kelsey is a light sleeper, etc. Not to mention the most important thing – the person in the middle would be trapped and unable to go to the bathroom in the middle of the night. I actually think there are good arguments that people sleep better individually, which is probably something we will try when we have more space.

What about jealousy?

I think jealousy is partially due to natural temperament and partially due to issues that need to be worked out.

We all get jealous to varying degrees but the old chestnut of good communication and a solid underlying relationship really makes it not an overarching problem.

Do you think polyamory is for everyone?

No, I think what Dan Savage calls “monogamish” is what would be best for most people. Or at least monogamish-lite.

Monogamish is where you’re mostly monogamous but occasionally have sexual experiences with others.

At the very least I think it’s best to work through issues surrounding jealousy, and to be realistic and honest about how attraction to others doesn’t magically turn off when you’re in a relationship.

Do you think poly people should be able to get married? Do you think the government and religious organizations should support it?

It’s complicated. I used to support gay marriage. Then I had a radical genderqueer professor in college who pointed out that it’s the wrong fight — the government shouldn’t be sanctioning any relationships. (The government shouldn’t exist at all, but that’s a topic for another post!)

So I think anyone should be able to get “married” in the sense that they can do whatever they want privately. But I don’t believe in forcing religious institutions into supporting things like gay marriage. (Another topic for another post, but I think people shouldn’t be religious in the first place.)

We may get married for pragmatic reasons (have to play the game): legal rights, ease of navigating medical/hospital situations, etc.

Other Questions?

Feel free to email me.

You may enjoy checking out my recommended relationship resources:

John’s Favorite Relationship Resources

Or my posts on how to communicate better:

Optimizing Communication


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The Ice Pack: A Pandemic Short Story

She woke up to damp sheets and a pounding headache. 

“No, no, no… This can’t be happening.” 

She did stay up later than she should have. The half empty bottle of Jack told her she drank a little more than she should have too. Maybe she wasn’t sick. 

She willed herself to sit up and felt her forehead. Hot. Then it happened. She coughed. 

“Fuck!” She slammed her arms down on the bed in frustration. “I don’t fucking need this right now. I can’t be sick.” She barely got any hours as it was.

Right then, her app popped up with the latest work schedule. She groaned as she read the notification. Only 25 hours this week?!

She thought about calling in sick but she’d be out for at least two weeks even if she felt better tomorrow. Maybe she wasn’t that sick… As shitty as her job was, there were hordes of people ready to take it with how bad things were. Everyone was asking their friends to get them a job or posting on Facebook asking if anyone knew anywhere that was hiring. The only reason she kept the hours that she did was because her manager liked her, the perv. If she told them, she’d be out at least two weeks and they’d definitely fire her then.

“How did I even get sick?! I bet it was one of the Chinese takeout guys…”

How was she supposed to live? She needed more hours. The Fed checks weren’t enough and everything kept getting more expensive anyway. She couldn’t rely on her OnlyFans to make ends meet anymore. Too much competition now. 

She fumbled through her medicine drawer and pulled out a package of generic DayQuil LiquiCaps. She stared at it trying to make out the directions. It said to take no more than two at a time. She popped four into her mouth and a generic Tylenol for good measure.

Aidan was crying. She loved him but the kid never shut up. She opened up the last remaining formula container from the batch the social services drone had dropped off a month ago. “Add one scoop to two ounces of water,” she muttered to herself. She turned on the faucet and let it heat up before filling the bottle to four ounces. She dumped in a scoop and started shaking. Money was tight after all and it was better than having him skip a meal.

She picked him up from his crib and stuck the bottle in his mouth. “Who knows what they even put in this shit?” she said to no one in particular, as if sympathetic responses would materialize from the walls. 

She poured some generic Cocoa Puffs, the kind that came in a bag with no box, into some milk. She poured the milk first. It was one of the things she actually listened to her dad about. She couldn’t taste it. “Weird.” she thought to herself.

Almost 9:30. “Fuck.” She fumbled around in the bathroom opening the mascara she ordered off FireBrands. The one from that girl that was on a reality show once. Her dad always bitched about how much money she spent on makeup but he didn’t know what it was like to be single in 2023. Normally she would just go out looking like shit but today was Monday, and Monday was when Cherie worked.

She looked in the mirror one last time. “God, I need to work out.” Maybe she would do one of those 30 days squat challenges, or order those smoothies Jen was always posting about.

She walked over to Nina’s and dropped off Aidan. Boy, did Nina have a sweet gig. Sit on her ass and watch cartoons all day with everyone on the block’s kids while they all went to real work. “She probably makes triple what I do,” she sneered. Still, she couldn’t imagine being responsible for that many kids… Two was enough and she was lucky Jax lived with his dad.

Empty Starbucks cups and Wendy’s wrappers littered the backseat of her car. As she pulled into the parking lot, the car made those sounds that make a mechanic wince. She couldn’t afford a newer car but at least she didn’t have one with the built in thermometer and breathalyzer. Everyone was getting RoboRide passes anyway but she didn’t trust self-driving cars. Besides, the best thing about driving was the feeling of just cruising late at night. No self-driving car would give her that.

She opened up her lunchbox, pulled out an ice pack, and held it to her forehead. Her forehead was starting to go numb but she had to hold it there a bit longer to beat the thermometer.

She smiled. Cherie *was* there, at the entrance as usual. She looked cute as hell even in a mask and face shield. 

“Hey, how’s it going, girl?”

“You know how it is. Another day in retail hell with Mark staring at my ass all day but at least I get to see you…” She smiled, trying to fake confidence.

“Can you blame Mark?” Cherie laughed. Seeing that she had made her laugh made her feel all sorts of ways inside.

The enjoyment ended when she remembered that the longer the conversation went on, the warmer her forehead would be. She hoped she had held the ice pack there long enough.

Cherie held up the thermometer and pointed it at her forehead like she was scanning a candy bar.

One. 

Two. 

Three. 

It let out a chirp and lit up green. She let out a sigh. Luckily Cherie didn’t take her pulse too. Caught up in the feeling of relief, she blurted out: “Do you want to hang out at my place on Saturday?”

A pause. Her hands and armpits started to sweat.

Cherie smirked. “Yeah, that sounds like fun…”

That lightheaded rush swept over her. The one you get when your crush says yes that makes you feel like you just got away with pulling a bank heist. Anyone who looked at her face coming inside the store could see she was blushing.

BEEP. 

Off-brand makeup. 

BEEP.

Donald Duck Orange Juice. 

BEEP. 

Two pregnancy tests. Always two. No one ever trusted just one pregnancy test that cost a dollar but two…

BEEP. 

Those bright cheap toys that come in a big, flat, plastic shell with cardboard backing. She felt bad for the kids that got the toys that would fall apart after one use but hey, the helium-filled balloons weren’t bad. Sometimes she’d even give out free ones if the kids were cute enough.

BEEP.

Plastic storage bins with holes in them. Not all the stuff was bad, you see. If you looked in her apartment, you’d see a lot of it came from work. She’d even take home things to use as props for her OnlyFans pics.

BEEP.

At the end of a shift, her cheeks would hurt from fake smiling all day.

BEEP.

She tried not to panic but her body was starting to ache. It was getting harder to act like nothing was wrong. Her brain felt foggy and it took an awkwardly long time to tell a customer what aisle the cleaning supplies were in. 

Maybe another Tylenol would help? She grabbed her drink, took a blister pack off the shelf, and beelined to the bathroom. She shakily popped one out and downed it with some Donald Duck Orange Juice. Vitamin C was good for colds right? She couldn’t taste the orange juice either. “Not good,” she thought to herself. Her hands were shaking as she twisted the cap back on. 

She took a deep breath and headed back to her register. It felt like she had just run a mile and she was hoping she didn’t look too sweaty. 

It was only an hour into her shift but she couldn’t stifle it any longer. Her cough rang out like a siren. Everyone in the store turned to look at her. 

“I promise I’m not sick!” she said, her arm outstretched, pleading for understanding.

Customers backed away in fear and disgust.

“Please! I need the hours!” Tears welled up in her eyes.

They were already hitting the report button on their apps. The contact tracing drone would be there in minutes.

Cherie definitely wasn’t coming over.


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Sexy or Beautiful? Brains or Looks? What Compliments Do People Prefer? Results of John’s Compliments Survey

What compliments do women prefer from men and men prefer from women?

Would you prefer to be called handsome or sexy? Good-looking or beautiful?

Do you prefer compliments on your looks or intelligence?

In 2015, I surveyed people on what compliments they preferred from the opposite sex. The results were interesting!

The text of the original post is below:

Introduction and hypothesis:

First off, this isn’t real science. The respondents weren’t randomly selected, there’s no null hypothesis, and my training in data collection and analysis is a B in Research Methods in Psychology and a B+ in Scientific Inquiry in Political Science. I’m not a professional. That said, let’s dive right in!

In a recent discussion about compliments, I was curious about which compliments people prefer to hear and on what.

I hypothesized that women would prefer compliments on their brain more given that comments on looks are more frequent with women (no citation here) and the fact that women want to be respected for more than just their looks.

I expected cute to rank low for both sexes and people to prefer intelligent over smart.

Respondents:
Number of respondents that answered in time is a respectable 37:
21 females
16 males

Respondents sexual orientation ranges from heterosexual to pansexual in women to strictly heterosexual in men. Everyone in the survey is cisgender (I think.) I will have to do a survey in the future on homosexual, queer, and trans respondents’ compliment preferences.

The majority of respondents are under 30 with most being in their early to mid-20s.

The word list for women was “pretty, cute, sexy, beautiful, good-looking, attractive, gorgeous”. In formulating the list, I used the adjectives that came to mind most easily and put them in a random order. Gorgeous was added from a discussion with Adriana.

The word list for men was “cute, good-looking, hot, handsome, sexy, attractive”. In formulating the list, I used the adjectives that came to mind most easily and put them in a random order and added “hot” and “sexy” based on obvious perceived omissions of the words by my first two male respondents.

The respondent was to assume to have heard the compliment(s) from a member of the opposite sex.

Both sexes were asked the same questions “Do you prefer compliments on your looks or brain more? Is smart or intelligent better to hear?” or some close variant.

Before you see the results, make some predictions and see if you’re right. Which word(s) do you think women/men or both prefer?

The numbers don’t match the number of respondents because some answers were too specific or only covered some of the compliments in the list. The patterns are still the same.

Looks Compliment Results:

I took the most frequently ranked top two and bottom two to see what the most desirable and least desirable words were. The ones not shown in the charts are therefore clustered in the middle.

Women Top Two:

Wow, beautiful and gorgeous are the overwhelming winners here! Both are fairly gender specific in usage.

Men Top Two:

Men like being called handsome. Like the women’s top, it is fairly gender specific in usage.

Women Bottom Two:

There is a fair amount of dispersion. Cute ranks low like I thought it would and women do not prefer good-looking! This makes sense when I think about it as good-looking as a compliment is uncommon and not as striking sounding as the others for a woman.

Men Bottom Two:

Men’s results are very disperse for what they prefer least. Cute ranks low like I thought but results are way more spread out than I guessed.

Looks or brain results:

Women:

As I suspected, women overwhelming prefer compliments on their intelligence to their looks.

Men:

Men are way more split with an almost even distribution.

Smart or intelligent results:

Women:

Landslide! Only one woman preferred smart.

Men:

What’s this? While not as much as a landslide as with the women, an agreement between the sexes! Maybe intelligent just sounds more intelligent, haha.

Qualifiers:

About a third of subjects expressed situational qualifiers, i.e., whether it was a stranger or someone they knew and a whole other myriad of situational specificities.

Many subjects expressed the importance of genuineness in the compliment.

Two of the female respondents specifically mentioned that if they put effort into their physical appearance than they wanted to be acknowledged on it even though they both preferred compliments on their brain.

Two subjects (both female) expressed uncomfortability at compliments especially in regards to looks.

One respondent mentioned not really liking any after her top three. Two male respondents only preferred one to three of the compliments.

Many female respondents expressed trepidation on strangers complimenting them physically and the awkwardness and uncomfortability that can result.

Of course, with both sexes, circumstances seem to be much more important than the compliment used and besides the two outliers most everyone likes being complimented from someone they’re familiar with regardless of the word or on what.

My own ranking:

1. hot
2. sexy
3. attractive
4. cute
5. good-looking
6. handsome

My reasoning is that I prefer to be sexually attractive instead of just aesthetically pleasing which is why I ranked good-looking and handsome at the bottom. The times I’ve heard I was hot made me feel nicer than the times I’ve heard the rest. While sexy is number two, I think it is used much less frequently than the others so I’m not absolutely certain how I would feel hearing it from someone who wasn’t my partner. Cute may be ranked number four (maybe because of its non-masculine connotation) but it comes with the qualifier that in my experience, it’s what I hear girls use most frequently when they are attracted to and/or like a guy. Overall, I like hearing them all though!

I prefer compliments on my looks over my brain. While I typically feel good about both my looks and intelligence, I can be less sure of if I’m attractive to someone or not. I almost never have anxiety about my intelligence. The closest it can come to that is status anxiety from being around academics/the wealthy and not being in a prestigious academic path or rich. I actually think I prefer smart over intelligent. Maybe this scene has too much of a hold on me:

 

Thanks to all the beautiful/gorgeous/handsome and intelligent people that were kind enough to respond!

What Would You Store to Maximize Value in 100 Years? A Thought Experiment

When I was a kid, I used to not want to take my action figures out of the packaging because I knew it would mess up the collector’s value of it.  After all, it might be worth a lot in the future! Beanie Babies, football cards, Pokemon cards – these were precious commodities to childhood John and to plenty of adults in the 90s.

How wrong I was. This is obviously not worth doing. You’d get more utility from just playing with them.

First, there’s the cost of storing the damn things for years taking up space in a tub in your attic. Second, it’s very unlikely they’ll be worth any real money in the future. For every one that’s worth hundreds of dollars, there are thousands that are only worth $5. You’ve likely paid hundreds of dollars for them in the first place. Now you have to do the work of listing and selling them, and you’ve made at best triple your money. The returns just aren’t worth it. If you just cared about making money, there are way better opportunities elsewhere (currently cryptocurrency).

If you wanted to store something that would be worth the most value in 100 years, what would you store?

Let’s say you had a budget of $50,000, or $100,000, or $1,000,000. 

The most straightforward thing to do is to store $100 bills. But will we use physical currency in a hundred years? Will we even use currency in a hundred years? Even if we still used USD, inflation would just depreciate its value. I doubt any of the cryptos today will be the main one used. Maybe they would be a collectible, though?

Gold, gems, and other precious metals are the most lindy but I don’t know how valuable they’ll still be besides their use in manufacturing. 

If I had to pick a precious metal to store, I’d probably pick rhodium which is going for a cool $16,650 to gold’s $1,907.10 and platinum’s $1,059.00. Funnily enough, in looking this up, I just learned platinum is currently worth less than gold. I always thought platinum was worth more than gold but apparently its price fluctuates more. It’s often worth more but not always.

You could store rare comic books or trading cards. Famous paintings. But if the world moves towards VR and such, then maybe people will care much less unless physical copies are still status items.

You could buy Action Comics #1 and hope the superhero franchises keep chugging along into the 22nd century, artistic merit be damned.

Or the T206 Honus Wagner and hope that the rise of blockchain esports cards don’t devalue it.

Certain types of art like famous paintings seem to store their value well but a lot of that might be due to money laundering and other nefarious purposes.

Unless you had a stupidly large budget, the famous expensive paintings are out of reach. You could buy a piece of art for under $1,000,000 but any art priced that low is unlikely to retain its value the way a super famous piece does.

It’s also important to consider actual rarity vs artificial rarity. Heroin is so expensive because it is currently illegal, not because it’s hard to manufacture. It’s smart to pick things that are intrinsically rare.

You’d also want things that are the least reliant on their value being dependent on trends. It’s hard to predict trends, though.

It would have been hard to predict that elements critical to making computers would become important, or what would become a technology-critical element in the future. The past hundred years were harder to predict than the hundred before that and so on and so forth. Maybe one could have predicted something like LCDs would exist and they would need something like indium, but seems like a stretch to me.

You could pick the rarest stable elements that are likely to be useful, but the scarcity and cost could drop significantly if and when asteroid mining takes off. Actinium is one of the rarest stable elements but doesn’t have much current use. Transuranium elements are among the most expensive substances on earth. Weapons-grade plutonium costs around $4,000/gram and Californium costs more than $60,000,000/gram. Seems unlikely a non-billionaire could get Californium or some other element that is ridiculously difficult to produce. Plutonium would be interesting but it’d also be extremely difficult to acquire. It would also increase the risk to the receiver, and they would incur a cost to safely handle and/or dispose of it depending on future conditions. The half-life is also a problem but could be treated like standard depreciation, though.

Estimates of things running out are usually vastly over-pessimistic. And AGI would just figure out a way around needing what we ran out of.

Storing various types of IP would be interesting. Commission the artist/author you think would still be valued and have them produce a work that you think would be popular or valuable in the future. You can pray either they don’t get cancelled or cancel culture doesn’t last, haha. I can’t imagine an artist doing as good a job on something that wouldn’t be read by anyone for a century, but maybe they imagine everyone in the future opening it and don’t want to disappoint them. 

Maybe IP laws won’t be like they are now so people would be reticent to pay.

There are some weird expensive things like truffles or rhino horn. I don’t know how well truffles keep and they aren’t expensive enough. I hope the rhino horn alternative medicine bullshit doesn’t last into the 22nd century. Agarwood is a fragrant wood used in perfume and other good-smelling things. The highest quality stuff goes for $100,000 a kilogram. But the more virtual we become the less perfume we may use.

Every article cites antimatter as the most expensive substance. I don’t know how antimatter is stored but it seems like it falls into the Californium problem but way harder.

One thing that’s not on most lists is Botox which is apparently one of the most expensive substances. But its main uses will be over when we solve aging and disease. Also, it’s one of the most hazardous things to store and handle.

A smart strategy might be to combine some of these. Commission a piece of art by a prominent artist and have them make it out of rhodium, stick some gems on it, and store a Bitcoin wallet in it.

What I like about this thought experiment is it forces us to tease apart the different types of value, the reasons why things are valuable, and to note our predictions about the future.

Ultimately, if we hit a post-scarcity society, maybe “stores of value” will cease to be as meaningful.

Bonus: https://www.theguardian.com/notesandqueries/query/0,5753,-8677,00.html

There are some solid and cute ideas in this thread. Bless the people who said “cinema popcorn”, “printer ink”, and “wife in a divorce settlement”.


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